Posted on Fri, Jun. 07, 2013
Young adults missing out on job market's slow gains
By DIANE STAFFORD AND BEN UNGLESBEE | The Kansas City Star
last updated: June 07, 2013 06:11:42 PM
For many young people who tossed their graduation caps into the air this
spring, the modestly positive jobs report for May did little to improve their
employment hopes.
U.S. employers added 175,000 jobs in May, a better net gain than
expected. And while the jobless rate ticked up to 7.6 percent from 7.5 percent,
that was because more people joined the labor force, the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics said Friday.
But not enough of the new jobs are going to young adults. In the 20-24
age group, the jobless rate was 13.2 percent - floating about where it's been
stuck for over a year.
"The gains have failed to benefit young Americans," Rory O'Sullivan,
policy director at Young Invincibles, a national advocacy group, said of
private-sector job growth.
The sticky jobless rate for young adults worries economists. That age
group includes recent college graduates who are trying to kick-start their
careers, pay off college loans and establish separate households. It also
includes young people with less education who aren't equipped to meet the skill
demands of available jobs.
And, while slow job growth was widespread last month across the private
sector, some of the larger gains were in relatively low-wage service industries,
part-time and temporary help services - where many young adults are working,
instead of in the full-time careers they want.
David Gaston, director of the University of Kansas career center, said
life for graduates coming into the job market is getting better, but slowly.
"Two years ago, it was really tough," Gaston said. "Last year we saw a
good improvement. This year we saw better improvement. But it's still tough out
there."
There were some positive numbers in Friday's report. The number of
unemployed, 11.8 million, was, like the jobless rate, "essentially unchanged,"
according to the labor bureau.
Another overall positive "was that the labor force participation rate
went up," said Daniel Heckman, national investment consultant for US Bank
Private Client Reserve. "That's an indication people are becoming more
confident. They're seeing it as a good time to venture into the labor
market."
Also, the 175,000 jobs created by established businesses, even
considering a downward revision of 12,000 from previous job growth estimates for
March and April, was better than most economists expected.
The consensus outlook had expected more of a summer slump. Indeed, job
growth has slowed in the past three months to an average of 155,000 a month from
the 207,000-a-month average gain in early 2013.
Modest as the job gains were, the stock market reacted positively, with
the Dow closing up more than 200 points on the day. The middling gains also
raised questions about whether the Federal Reserve will continue its stimulative
effort buying bonds or will raise short-term interest rates.
Analysts say the private sector needs to create 200,000-plus jobs each
month in order to accommodate new graduates, other entrants and re-entrants to
the work force. Such job creation is important not just for those job hunters
but for the national economy.
Bloomberg senior economist Joseph Brusuelas calculates that,
conservatively, the nation will lose about $18 billion in wages over the next 10
years because of youth unemployment. That affects consumer spending, the
foundation of the U.S. economy.
According to Brusuelas, six months of joblessness at age 22 results in
an 8 percent lower wage at age 23, 6 percent lower at age 26, and 4 percent
lower at age 30. In other words, it's hard to catch up to lost earnings.
And there's the related problem of underemployment. Stories abound of
young college graduates who haven't landed professional jobs in their major
field of study and instead are working part-time waiting tables.
Lori Frankenfield graduated from Northwest Missouri State University in
December with a degree in journalism. Since then she has lived at home and
worked fulltime as a shift manager at a retail outlet while she searches for a
job in her field.
For now, the Kansas City-area resident is glad to have the job she does.
Still, it's not why she took out student loans to go to school.
"I'm kind of feeling like I'm stuck. I need to move forward and get a
job in my field," Frankenfield said. "I've come to a point where I don't know my
next move or what I should be doing."
Even for those who have found jobs, the search is often grueling and
full of rejection.
Max Miller, a graduate of Park University in Parkville, Mo., started his
job search six months before graduating. He'd already worked two internships
during his schooling and tailored his resume to look like a good fit for each
job. After applying to about five jobs every day for several months, only about
10 percent of companies called him back.
"It was a very long process. I had an expectation that all you needed
was a bachelor's degree and you'll come out with a job making $45,000," Miller
said. "I'll tell you, once you get rejected so many times you'll start asking
yourself, 'Did I do the right thing? Did I take the right steps?' "
Unlike some of his peers, Miller finally landed a full-time position
with a Lenexa, Kan.-based publishing company.
A recent study by Demos.org said the U.S. economy needs 4.1 million new
jobs for young adults in order to return their employment to a pre-2008
level.
According to the labor department, whose household and employer surveys
provide the unemployment and employment data, about 15.46 million Americans age
20-24 are members of the labor force, which means they're either working or
looking for work.
That compares to about 6.6 million of that age group who aren't in the
labor force; they're full-time students, home makers or others who aren't
holding a job and aren't trying to find one.
Generation Opportunity, a youth advocacy organization, estimates that
the "effective" unemployment rate for young people in their teens and twenties
is 16.1 percent, partly because of the number who aren't looking for work.
The labor department said the 20-24 group had an
employment-to-population ratio of 60.8 percent in May. Like all age groups, that
ratio fell during the Great Recession, but it has risen slightly since a low of
59.7 percent in January 2010.
And economists point to a further concern: The jobless situation is even
bleaker for young blacks and Hispanics.
©2013 The Kansas City Star (Kansas City, Mo.)